inflation

Why Inflation Will Increase In 2018

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Reading Time: 4 minutes The Perfect Scenario For Stocks With the economy regaining steam in 2017, the number one risk to equities and economic expansion is inflation. The current economic expansion hasn’t produced inflation, as measured by core CPI, because the growth in inflation as a result of QE has been subdued to mainly financial…CONTINUE READING

The Next Recession

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Reading Time: 4 minutes The previous financial crisis was a disaster for many, with housing prices and equities falling precipitously. Since then, there’s been a new crop of ‘forecasters’ who have made a living explaining when the next crisis will be. That’s backwards looking analysis which feeds off people being scared and uninformed. Even…CONTINUE READING

How The Federal Reserve Decides Policy

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Reading Time: 4 minutes The Federal Reserve has a dual mandate to form an economic environment which keeps prices stable and has maximum stable employment. The Dual Mandate Bullseye chart does a great job of showing the policy objective the Fed has. As you can see, the x axis has an unemployment gauge and the…CONTINUE READING

The Federal Reserve Bank Is Following, Not Leading

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Reading Time: 4 minutes There is a prevailing belief that the Federal Reserve forecasts the economy accurately, which is why every word from Federal Reserve officials moves markets and is very critically examined. Previously we mentioned how some of the Federal Reserve assumptions about inflation and unemployment are inaccurate. It’s important to correct the inaccuracies…CONTINUE READING

Why The Federal Reserve Isn’t Meeting Its Goals

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Reading Time: 5 minutes There are many questions about the current monetary policy, but not many answers provided by the central bankers. The situation, which has remained the same since the Federal Reserve started its quantitative easing policy, was perfectly summarized on Monday as Janet Yellen spoke at the University of Michigan. She didn’t…CONTINUE READING

Quantitative Easing (QE): Are We Making A Mistake?

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Reading Time: 7 minutes The current path of monetary policy in the form of quantitative easing (QE) world wide and particularly in the United States is following a dangerous trajectory, one that has a historical precedent without looking back several centuries. This disastrously flawed monetary experiment has plagued Japans economy and its people since the…CONTINUE READING