Campaign Promises Scrapped; Nothing Has Changed

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Reading Time: 4 minutes This article will review the shortened week the markets had. The stock market had a rough week as the S&P 500 was down 1.21%. The ten-year bond yield had a sharp decline from 2.3822% to 2.2374%. The dollar index fell modestly from $101.18 to $100.48. It was certainly a week…CONTINUE READING

No Economic Stimulus, No Productivity Growth

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Reading Time: 4 minutes In the recent few weeks the reflation trade has unwound as the Russell 2000 is now negative for the year, the ten-year bond yield has plummeted to 2.2374%, and bank stocks have fallen about 9% since March 1st. To be clear, the Russell 2000 initially rallied after Trump’s election because…CONTINUE READING

Credit Card Debt Highest Since 2008

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Reading Time: 4 minutes President Trump made a bold official promise of 4% GDP growth per year: “To get the economy back on track, President Trump has outlined a bold plan to create 25 million new American jobs in the next decade and return to 4 percent annual economic growth,” reads the White House…CONTINUE READING

The Federal Reserve Bank Is Following, Not Leading

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Reading Time: 4 minutes There is a prevailing belief that the Federal Reserve forecasts the economy accurately, which is why every word from Federal Reserve officials moves markets and is very critically examined. Previously we mentioned how some of the Federal Reserve assumptions about inflation and unemployment are inaccurate. It’s important to correct the inaccuracies…CONTINUE READING

Why The Federal Reserve Isn’t Meeting Its Goals

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Reading Time: 5 minutes There are many questions about the current monetary policy, but not many answers provided by the central bankers. The situation, which has remained the same since the Federal Reserve started its quantitative easing policy, was perfectly summarized on Monday as Janet Yellen spoke at the University of Michigan. She didn’t…CONTINUE READING

Pause In Rate Hikes; Weak Jobs Report

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Reading Time: 4 minutes Two topics that took center stage this past week have been the Federal Reserve’s supposed change (perceived tightening) in its monetary policy and the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The Fed clarified its forward guidance this week in a speech by Bill Dudley, president of the Federal Reserve…CONTINUE READING

Corporate Debt Highest Ever – What Does It Mean?

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Reading Time: 5 minutes In previous articles, the groundwork for how the current financial bubble was created has been explained. You can read them here, here, or here. To summarize, central banks have collectively pumped trillions of dollars into the system by buying assets. This lowered fixed income yields to record low levels. There…CONTINUE READING

Buybacks Signal End Of Stock Bull Market

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Reading Time: 4 minutes Many investing websites and prognosticators put out highly emotional titles and predictions to get readers’ attention, but it does them a disservice. The best way to make any decision is do so with a sound mind. When you are emotional, you make the worst spending decisions which is why firms…CONTINUE READING

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